The Midterm Results
It is not quite 8 a.m. on the west coast as I write this, and I won't be surprised if some of this changes in the next while, but here is how I understand the 2014 mid term elections turned out:
Senate
Of the 36 senate elections, the Republicans won or are leading in 23 of them and the Democrats won or are leading in 13. If I understand correctly, although the Democratic candidate Mary Landrieu is leading in Louisiana, since she does not have a majority, this will lead to a runoff election and that state will probably end up in the Republican column as well. The current tally factoring in these results leaves the Republicans with at 52-45 edge, with the Democrats number including 2 independents who caucus with the Democrats. Of the remaining three seats not yet called, I've explained what I understand about Louisiana. The other two are Virginia, which I'm almost certain will end up the Democratic column (the Democratic candidate has a 12,000 vote lead, with 5% of the votes uncounted) and Alaska, where the Republican has a large lead, but only 73% of the votes have been counted. My prediction is that when all the smoke clears, the results will be 54 to 46 for the GOP.
oxymoron67 for the second midterm elections in a row, you called it correctly. gm_1787 you also called it correctly. I bow to both of your brilliance.
The House
Of the 435 seats in the House, so far GOP have won 243 and the Democrats have 174. Of the remaining 18, the Democrats are leading in 13 and the GOP in 5, but some of these are very close, so don't expect those numbers to hold. If they do however, the final score will be Republicans 248, Democrats 187. No matter what happens, the Republicans will have a large majority in the House.
Once againoxymoron67 has proven to be a political genius at prognostication, and so has strivingtoohard. You both have accurate crystal balls. (Hmm, somehow that sounds funny.)
Gubernatorial Races
In the governor's races (which I didn't include in the prediction poll of a couple of days ago), of the 36 races, the Republicans have won (or are leading in) 24, the Democrats have won (or are leading in) 11 and it looks as if Alaska will have an independent as Governor.
What does it all mean? According to President Obama, it means nothing. In his words, the senate losses were because the seats up for election were the worst possible combination for Democrats. This fails to explain the lopsided house and gubernatorial results however. Julie Mason of Sirius XM' POTUS radio believes that a swinging of the pendulum when it comes to balance of power is a healthy thing.
Time will tell, what it all really means, but if Professor Alan J. Lichtman's system of the 13 keys continues to hold true, it is one of 13 keys that points to a Republican victory in the Presidential election of 2016. Stay tuned.
Senate
Of the 36 senate elections, the Republicans won or are leading in 23 of them and the Democrats won or are leading in 13. If I understand correctly, although the Democratic candidate Mary Landrieu is leading in Louisiana, since she does not have a majority, this will lead to a runoff election and that state will probably end up in the Republican column as well. The current tally factoring in these results leaves the Republicans with at 52-45 edge, with the Democrats number including 2 independents who caucus with the Democrats. Of the remaining three seats not yet called, I've explained what I understand about Louisiana. The other two are Virginia, which I'm almost certain will end up the Democratic column (the Democratic candidate has a 12,000 vote lead, with 5% of the votes uncounted) and Alaska, where the Republican has a large lead, but only 73% of the votes have been counted. My prediction is that when all the smoke clears, the results will be 54 to 46 for the GOP.
oxymoron67 for the second midterm elections in a row, you called it correctly. gm_1787 you also called it correctly. I bow to both of your brilliance.The House
Of the 435 seats in the House, so far GOP have won 243 and the Democrats have 174. Of the remaining 18, the Democrats are leading in 13 and the GOP in 5, but some of these are very close, so don't expect those numbers to hold. If they do however, the final score will be Republicans 248, Democrats 187. No matter what happens, the Republicans will have a large majority in the House.
Once again
oxymoron67 has proven to be a political genius at prognostication, and so has strivingtoohard. You both have accurate crystal balls. (Hmm, somehow that sounds funny.)Gubernatorial Races
In the governor's races (which I didn't include in the prediction poll of a couple of days ago), of the 36 races, the Republicans have won (or are leading in) 24, the Democrats have won (or are leading in) 11 and it looks as if Alaska will have an independent as Governor.
What does it all mean? According to President Obama, it means nothing. In his words, the senate losses were because the seats up for election were the worst possible combination for Democrats. This fails to explain the lopsided house and gubernatorial results however. Julie Mason of Sirius XM' POTUS radio believes that a swinging of the pendulum when it comes to balance of power is a healthy thing.
Time will tell, what it all really means, but if Professor Alan J. Lichtman's system of the 13 keys continues to hold true, it is one of 13 keys that points to a Republican victory in the Presidential election of 2016. Stay tuned.